Currently reading: What a battery materials deal with the US would mean for the UK

Prime minister Rishi Sunak has hailed negotiations as "giving UK companies stronger access to the US market"

The UK and the US have announced they are working on an agreement to open the US market to UK battery materials. The launch of negotiations was hailed by UK prime minister Rishi Sunak as “giving UK companies stronger access to the US market”, but how significant would this agreement be?

What the UK and US are working on is a “critical minerals agreement” that could enable UK battery materials to enter the US tariff free and qualify as 'local' for US vehicle makers hoping to access the very generous subsidies handed out as part of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).

Minerals needed for battery making are defined as cobalt, graphite, lithium, manganese and nickel. Right now, the refining of these is concentrated in China and one of US president Joe Biden’s aims with the IRA is to reduce his country’s dependence on its Asian rival while simultaneously building up a strong home-grown electric vehicle industry. 

The US recognises that doing this is going to be a slow process, and so it is inking agreements with friendly countries to establish a supply chain that bypasses and possibly even rivals China’s. 

The UK will be the latest beneficiary of this policy if an agreement is reached and would follow a similar agreement signed with Japan in March, which dropped tariffs on battery materials coming into the US.

News of the possible agreement was welcomed by Cornish Lithium, one of the most promising lithium extraction start-ups in the UK. CEO and founder Jeremy Wrathall said he was “delighted” in a statement to Autocar. “This highlights the ever growing importance of such minerals to the technologies that enable the move to renewable energy and net zero,” he said.

The problem is that the UK has precious few suppliers of raw or refined material materials. Cornish Lithium and nearby British Lithium are two, along with nickel refiner Vale in South Wales. There are other promising start-ups but, in reality, right now the UK can’t supply its own - so far small - battery industry with the materials they need, never mind someone else’s.

Cornish lithium

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Automotive lobby group SMMT used the moment to remind the government that the UK is lagging badly on that front. 

“Britain can only benefit from such a deal if we seize the window of opportunity to increase our critical mineral production, build our own battery capability and supply US automotive production,” SMMT CEO Mike Hawes said in a statement.

What we don’t know is whether the agreement would allow UK-built EVs to qualify for generous purchase subsidies in the US under the agreement, but it seems unlikely. For one thing, Japan’s agreement with the US didn’t include that provision.

Last year, the UK exported zero EVs to the US, despite it being the UK's second largest automotive market after the EU, according to the SMMT. Another problem is that UK exports to the US are largely premium and luxury, and the IRA purchase subsidy has a sticker price ceiling of $55,000 for standard cars and $80,000 for SUVs. Future electric Range Rovers, Jaguars, Rolls-Royces, Bentleys and Aston Martins will cost a lot more than that.

What is certain is that the US IRA has significantly grown the country’s future battery industry. As increasing numbers of battery suppliers announced plans to locate in the US, consultancy firm Benchmark Mineral Intelligence noted in early June that the US had overtaken Europe in planned future capacity with a pipeline of 1190GWh up to 2031GWh.

The sheer size of the battery industry in the US in years to come will mean it’ll need serious material input, of which the UK could play a part. Right now, however, the UK has its own difficulty fulfilling local battery content rules imposed as a part of its post-Brexit agreement with the EU. Manufacturers are already pleading for the introduction of the rules to be delayed because they can’t secure enough UK or EU materials to meet the 40% local sourced requirement. Nothing should be given to the US until we can meet those needs first.

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sabre 11 June 2023

A dangerous decision: The US pushes the UK into the arms of the IRA.